🏈 Catch Em All

A primer on the WRs and TEs of the 2023 Rookie Class

Good morning. With the draft only days away, you better believe we're reading and re-reading The Athletic's 308-page The Beast. We're also placing bets we can't afford to lose. You only live once, they keep telling me.

Can you believe Draft Day with Kevin Costner came out almost nine years ago? Makes you wonder what we've done with all that time...

Today's newsletter covers all the fantasy-relevant rookie pass-catchers in this year's draft. How does this class stack up against recent rookie phenoms (Justin Jefferson, Ja'Marr Chase, Garrett Wilson)? Expert takes, stats and comps.

This will be a two-part series, so keep an eye out for an email tomorrow!

Was this newsletter forwarded to you? Are you Aaron Rodgers? Get out of the cave and make the best decision of your life. Join 10,000+ other subscribers:

The Athletic

Your favourite newsletter is made possible by The Athletic. Yes, THE ATHLETIC. Who is offering Morning Huddle subscribers a monthly subscription for just $1.99. Hit three birds with one-stone: get amazing content, support the Morning Huddle and access The Beast, for less than the price of an organic sweet potato.

What we're reading this week:

Oh and The Beast, which you can access for free with a subscription to The Athletic.

NFL DRAFT SPECIAL

An overview of the 2023 WR class

To keep it simple, we split this class into three categories:

1) Studs: players who should ball out regardless of landing spot. Think Garrett Wilson.

2) Lottery tickets: less-hyped but high potential pass-catchers who could shine in the right situation.

3) Sleepers: you know what these are. This year's Terry McLaurin. 

2023 WR CLASS

STUDS

1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba Ohio State - Former NFL WR Brian Hartline joined Ohio State’s staff in 2017 and transformed the school into a WR factory. He’s churned out studs like Terry McLaurin, Jameson Williams (who transferred), Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson, and now Jaxon Smith-Njigba (JSN). When asked who’s the best of this bunch, Hartline, Olave, Wilson, and C.J. Stroud all said JSN.

Mocks have JSN going to either Houston at 12 or New England at 14… if that’s the case, he’ll be their top target from Day 1.

Smith-Njigba carved up defenses from the slot in 2021, and was the lead dawg in the Rose Bowl where he set an NCAA record with 347 and 3 TDs. Many see JSN as a slot receiver with limited upside due to his average athleticism (6’0” 196 lbs)(4.52 40 yd dash), but JSN can be a true #1 at the next level with his elite route running and YAC-ability (2nd in the country with 790 yards after the catch in 2021).

NFL comp: Amon-Ra St. Brown with a Justin Jefferson-esque ceiling.

"100 catches and 1000 yards in year one is not even a stretch." - @PFF_Mike on Jaxon Smith-Njigba on the ETR podcast.

2. Quentin Johnston TCU - Johnston literally stands head and shoulders above this draft class at 6’2” 208 lbs. Johnston is one of the few WRs who profiles as a traditional ‘X’. The Athletic’s Bruce Feldman had him on his Freaks List prior to the 2022 season for good reason – Johnston has reportedly clocked a 4.40 40 time, vertical-jumped 42 inches, broad-jumped 11 feet, and back-squatted 575 lbs.

There’s a lot of buzz that he could end up with the Ravens, which would be a high-upside, but low-volume situation for him.

Johnston has length and speed, with his agility after the catch (2nd in the country with 8.9 YAC per reception in 2022) making him an intriguing playmaker who can do more than just catch go balls. But he plays small. Johnston suffers from frequent concentration drops and only caught 8 of his 23 contested catch attempts last season (125th among WRs). Johnston also lacks diversity in his route tree, struggling against press coverage and zone defenses.

NFL Comp: Christian Watson

3. Jordan Addison USC - I don’t know how he does it… but Addison just makes plays. He’s tiny (173 lbs) and has a Relative Athletic Score of only 5.92 out of 10, but makes defenders look silly. At Pitt in 2021, Addison won the Biletnikoff Award as the nation’s best WR with 1,593 yds and 17 TDs.

Pairing Addison with Justin Herbert could be an intriguing landing spot, especially with Keenan Allen entering the twilight of his career.

After transferring to USC in 2022, he decreased his drop rate from 14.3 as a freshman to only 3.3 as a junior, per Dane Brugler’s The Beast. His build profile Addison as an NFL slot receiver, but his elite collegiate production and crisp route running has many thinking he can be an elite WR.

NFL Comp: Darnell Mooney / DeVonta Smith

4. Jalin Hyatt Tennessee - 2022’s Biletnikoff winner, Hyatt exploded last season (1,267 yds and 15 TDs (5 in one game against Alabama!!)). He has elite speed (4.40 40, but looks even faster on film) and has impressive hands and play strength for his size (6’0” 176 lbs).

If he ends up somewhere like Buffalo at 27 or KC at 31…look out.

In Tennessee’s Air Raid system, Hyatt led the SEC in catches of 20+ yards (20) and led all of college football in catches of 30+ yards (15), 40+ yards (11), 50+ yards (7) and 60+ yards (5).

NFL Comp: DeSean Jackson

5. Zay Flowers Boston College - Flowers has been rising up draft boards with many analysts comparing him to Antonio Brown. It makes sense – he’s small (5’9” 182 lbs), fast (4.42 40), quickly gets in and out of breaks, and excelled in 2022 1,077 yds and 12 TDs.

While many say Zay Flowers and JSN are landing-spot proof, the Patriots, Chargers or Bills would be interesting.

Flowers was recently named a “my guy” for ESPN’s Mel Kiper and Todd McShay and has been catching passes from Patrick Mahomes. Flowers has that dawg in him… NFL scouts love his confidence and competitive nature, stating he “competes his ass off, but always smiling. Coaches say he is the type of guy everyone wants to be around,” per The Beast.

Like many in this class, Flowers’ size will likely limit him to the slot at the next level.

NFL Comp: Off-Brand and Mentally Stable Antonio Brown

Lotto Tickets

This tier of prospects could put up big numbers in the right landing spot:

Marvin Mims Jr. - Mims is a Texas high school football legend. The state’s “Mr. Football” in 2019, he had a ridiculous 114 catches for 2,626 yds and 31 TDs in 15 games. Mims can play inside or outside and run every route in the playbook, with his elite speed (4.38) allowing him to regularly burn defenders. He's small (5’10” 183 lbs) but could still be a strong rotational piece. Think: Emmanuel Sanders. The Giants and Cowboys are interested.

  • Josh Downs - He’s only 5’8” 171 lbs but plays BIG – Downs posted a 75% contested catch win percentage (tops the class) and has a longer wingspan than Chris Olave, who’s 5 inches taller than him. An elite separator out of the slot who attacks the ball and plays with a chip on his shoulder, he could be a steal for a team in the early 2nd round. Think: Elijah Moore.

  • Tyler Scott - A field stretcher who played the ‘X’ at Cincinnati, Scott was rising up boards early in the offseason, but his 40-time was lower than expected (4.44). He can take the top off a defense (8 catches of 30+ yards in 2022) and has the suddenness to create separation, but will need to prove he can do it against NFL-caliber defenders. Think: Tyler Lockett. Could be a Hollywood Brown replacement in Baltimore.

  • Cedric Tillman - Ahhh finally… someone with size! Tillman is 6’3” 213 lbs and has the strength to be a solid red zone option. He uses his body well to make contested catches and has the acceleration to get deep. He has the potential to develop into a solid outside NFL WR who can overpower smaller DBs. Think: DeVante Parker.

  • Nathaniel “Tank” Dell - Anything but a tank at 5’8” 165 lbs, Dell plays bigger than anybody in this class. Over the last 3 seasons, Dell has had 26 red zone TDs and has the 4th highest contested catch win percentage in the class. Tank is an electric playmaker who profiles as a third/fourth option on an offense that can spread the ball around. Think: A healthy, smaller Kadarius Toney. Tennessee, Houston, and Buffalo are interested (...please Buffalo).

Sleepers

This tier is difficult. Most are likely underhyped John Ross clones, but there are a few value-mart Deebo Samuels listed below.

Jayden Reed - You’ve heard it a million times already… he’s a small target with excellent quickness and big play potential. He could instantly make an impact as a returner in the NFL, and could become a solid WR.

Jonathan Mingo - He’s big and has the vertical speed to be a down-field threat at the next level (10 catches of 30+ yards in 2022). He doesn’t have the short area quickness to win on every route, but can contribute if put in the right situation.

Rashee Rice - Average size (6’0” 204 lbs) and speed (4.51), but was uber productive in 2022 (96 rec, 1,355 yds, 10 TDs) and has outstanding body control and hand-eye coordination. But Rice is inconsistent and will need to clean up his game to succeed in the NFL. No relation to Ray Rice.

Trey Palmer - Also lacks polish, but is a burner (4.33) who can stretch the field. He profiles as a Ted Ginn-type of player who can make an instant impact as a returner, with the hopes of eventually developing into a rotational big play option. May be related to Carson Palmer, but unlikely.

A.T. Perry - Tall target (6’3” 198 lbs) who runs excellent routes and caught 26 TDs in two seasons. He isn’t much of a playmaker (only 2.2 YAC in 2022) and lacks the speed and strength to be a top tier prospect. No related to Tyler Perry.

QUICK SLANTS

Remember: we'll be back for Part 2 tomorrow. Thanks for joining us this morning - now go show the world your greatness.

Jake, Eddie & the legendary Coach D (College Football Maestro. And Browns Fan.)

Tweet of the Day

Today's Newsletter

Let us know how we did

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

Join the conversation

or to participate.